Derivatives gambling and Halloween fright night for the world banking system.

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Its getting close to Halloween and I know you all want to read a good scare story. Well learn what the banks and investment firms have been doing with your money and you will know why Washington and the banks are in a cold sweat panic and saying if the government does not bring stability the whole house of cards is going to come crashing down into the second great depression.

For a house of cards to fall it has to be a house of cards to begin with and this article about derivatives will take you on a tour of the house. After you read this article you will not only know everything you need to know about derivatives. You will also know why everyone in the know is turning white with fear long before Halloween.

There simply is no reason why a sub-prime crises would cause all these investment bank failures unless they have been doing something with your money that is very risky. Turns out they have. Instead of making sound investments with your money they have been gambling at the Derivatives Casinos. All these firms are now so leveraged on their next bet that any loss at the wheel of fortune makes them unable to pay their bills and if they cannot pay their bills other banks that are levered to the teeth because of their own gambling habits also cannot pay their bills and if they cannot pay their bills none of the others can pay their bills either and if none of the others can pay their bills there is no money to borrow for anyone in the nation.

Read about it for yourself but anyone who thinks the crises is over is not paying attention. Also take note that the following article was written before the announcement of the really frighting government bailout that was announced today to bail out all the derivative gamblers bad debts. Yeah, the government has to do this taxpayer bailout because all the gamblers were not gambling with their own money they were gambling with your retirement, insurance and investment incomes and everything else.

Next years Halloween fright night will be about the coming rapid hyperinflation that will bring you green toilet paper.

OpEdNews » It’s the Derivatives, Stupid! Why Fannie, Freddie and AIG Had to Be Bailed Out

Until recently, most people had never even heard of derivatives; but in terms of money traded, these investments represent the biggest financial market in the world. Derivatives are financial instruments that have no intrinsic value but derive their value from something else. Basically, they are just bets. You can “hedge your bet” that something you own will go up by placing a side bet that it will go down. “Hedge funds” hedge bets in the derivatives market. Bets can be placed on anything, from the price of tea in China to the movements of specific markets.

“The point everyone misses,” wrote economist Robert Chapman a decade ago, “is that buying derivatives is not investing. It is gambling, insurance and high stakes bookmaking. Derivatives create nothing.”1 They not only create nothing, but they serve to enrich non-producers at the expense of the people who do create real goods and services. In congressional hearings in the early 1990s, derivatives trading was challenged as being an illegal form of gambling. But the practice was legitimized by Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan, who not only lent legal and regulatory support to the trade but actively promoted derivatives as a way to improve “risk management.” Partly, this was to boost the flagging profits of the banks; and at the larger banks and dealers, it worked. But the cost was an increase in risk to the financial system as a whole.2

Since then, derivative trades have grown exponentially, until now they are larger than the entire global economy. The Bank for International Settlements recently reported that total derivatives trades exceeded one quadrillion dollars – that’s 1,000 trillion dollars.3 How is that figure even possible? The gross domestic product of all the countries in the world is only about 60 trillion dollars. The answer is that gamblers can bet as much as they want. They can bet money they don’t have, and that is where the huge increase in risk comes in.

Credit default swaps (CDS) are the most widely traded form of credit derivative. CDS are bets between two parties on whether or not a company will default on its bonds. In a typical default swap, the “protection buyer” gets a large payoff from the “protection seller” if the company defaults within a certain period of time, while the “protection seller” collects periodic payments from the “protection buyer” for assuming the risk of default. CDS thus resemble insurance policies, but there is no requirement to actually hold any asset or suffer any loss, so CDS are widely used just to increase profits by gambling on market changes. In one blogger’s example, a hedge fund could sit back and collect $320,000 a year in premiums just for selling “protection” on a risky BBB junk bond. The premiums are “free” money – free until the bond actually goes into default, when the hedge fund could be on the hook for $100 million in claims.

And there’s the catch: what if the hedge fund doesn’t have the $100 million? The fund’s corporate shell or limited partnership is put into bankruptcy; but both parties are claiming the derivative as an asset on their books, which they now have to write down. Players who have “hedged their bets” by betting both ways cannot collect on their winning bets; and that means they cannot afford to pay their losing bets, causing other players to also default on their bets.

The dominos go down in a cascade of cross-defaults that infects the whole banking industry and jeopardizes the global pyramid scheme. The potential for this sort of nuclear reaction was what prompted billionaire investor Warren Buffett to call derivatives “weapons of financial mass destruction.” It is also why the banking system cannot let a major derivatives player go down, and it is the banking system that calls the shots. The Federal Reserve is literally owned by a conglomerate of banks; and Hank Paulson, who heads the U.S. Treasury, entered that position through the revolving door of investment bank Goldman Sachs, where he was formerly CEO.

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Date posted: Friday, September 19th, 2008 7:47 pm | Under category: American patriot topics, Danger to the US, The greedy, amoral society, constitutional issues, demented, dumb, economy
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2 Comments

  1. Brett BlatchleyNo Gravatar said »

    It really frosts me that the newsies and pols all sound like this caught them by surprise, and how they’re going to “help us” commoners understand it. I’ve got news for them, I understand the problem better than virtually all of them appear to, and have since my teen years. In fact, I think when the obfuscating jargon is cleared, most anyone with common sense understands what’s happening and WHY.

    They’ve been painting such a rosy picture: “Oh, we’re not entering a recession. The economy looks ‘great.’” Liars and idiots. Even Rush Limbaugh spouts this naive line. It’s been obvious for a couple decades where our economy was headed and WHY, and the fact that the pols would not have enough knowledge or courage to keep us from plowing into an economic iceberg.

    OH, NEWS! NEWS! CNN (The Most Trusted Name in News ™) just told us (breathlessly) that Fed just confided that they and our noble (non-partisan) “statesmen” have averted Great Depression II with their wisdom of nationalizing MOST of the real estate mortgage banking industry (and the MOST of the insurance industry that backs up that risk). We are told that, though we taxpayers are on the ‘hook’ for all the risk, it was for OUR GOOD, and that we will benefit — we should be so grateful to our ruling (and pundit) class!

    Well, one more thing is as sure as death and taxes: we WILL NOT pay-off this debacle before the Lord returns.

    I can see America dissolving before my eyes.

  2. DonNo Gravatar said »

    Yep, I wrote about this house of cards over 8 years ago. We have seen nothing yet.

    http://www.thepropheticyears.com/reasons/World%20debt.HTM

    Greenback toilet paper will be in abundance soon. The best investment for the future will be in pitchforks, tar and feathers..

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