The world has been told by the Obama administration that Obama does not bluff. However, apparently leaders in North Korea, Iran, Syria, Afghanistan and elsewhere do not believe him. Many leaders think that Obama is bluffing because like Presidents Clinton and Carter he is so wishy-washy predictable. The “progressive” leaders of America always take the politically correct way that is blessed by the globalist progressive appeasers.
Obama bluffed North Korea by sending a few ships and nuclear bombers and having a joint exercise with South Korea as a show of force that we will not put up with their nuclear weapons development program. However, we have already put up with North Korea’s nuclear weapons program under a number presidents that have said that we would not allow Korea to have nukes.
Now, it is time for Obama to either call the raise of North Korea or fold because Obama’s nuclear bomber bluff was called and raised when North Korea declared war on South Korea and the US. All recent signs telegraph that Obama is folding.
This game has gone on for a long time. Whenever North Korea takes belligerent action against South Korea or ourselves our leaders eventually enter talks that end up with them offering bribes for North Korea’s future good behavior. It makes you wonder which side is more insane.
I think Kim Jong-un now sees the perfect opportunity to get North Korea’s long-term needs met through some measured military actions that are backed by the threat of an all out war. They have learned from history that in the end the “progressives” running the West will fall all over themselves in efforts to appease them.
This strategy by North Korea is effective because they know that military intimidation works for them. They know that we know that they can demolish Seoul and its suburbs with hundreds of thousands of artillery shells shot from guns entrenched in the nearby mountains and they know that we know that their huge special forces would be all over Northern South Korea within hours.
Fifty miles of South Korea would be rubble before most of the rest of South Korea even knew what hit them. Hundreds of thousand of South Koreans would die in the first few days along with 20,000 Americans.
Sure, North Korea would soon be defeated unless China came to their aid, but who is willing to pay the price of millions dead and a metro area of 25 million people lying in total ruins? North Korea knows that this threat is always going to make South Korea and America back off from all out conflict.
Why would North Korea think otherwise? They have carried out aggressive deadly actions every decade since the Korean war and all that happens in response is rhetoric and economic sanctions.
North Korea’s nuclear threat is really not much more than a possible EMP threat, but that threat should be taken seriously. I wrote about the Iranian North Korean 2013 EMP conspiracy about two years ago. It is right on schedule. In the article, I was not saying that they would attack us with an EMP in 2013. I was saying that they would first have the capability to do so by 2013.
We are not moving our missile interceptors around to try to counter the North Korean threat for no reason. If a nation has a rocket that can put a satellite in space they also have the delivery system that can put a light nuclear bomb in space that can deliver an EMP. North Korea is probably very close to being able to do that now. In fact, we have a North Korean satellite orbiting over the US as I write (I am not suggesting that it contains a nuke). However, it could be a test run rather than the weather satellite that they claim.
The Obama administration made a big show of our nuclear capable bombers flying to Korea but now that North Korea called the bluff and raised the stakes by declaring war, the Obama administration is predictably backing off as fast as they can. They are now cancelling anything that could further agitate the North Koreans into actual hostile action.
The latest report coming from the American administration is that we are only going to respond against North Korea in like force. In other words, if they shell one of our bases we will shell one of theirs, if they sink one of our boats we will sink one of theirs. America’s defense establishment basically has now told North Korea that our retaliation to their military actions will be limited to a tit-for-tat response. That is the kind of response that you might expect at a pillow fight in a progressive girlie slumber party and not the response that you should expect from the world super-power.
The Obama administration has a history of such stupidities in its foreign affairs. No need to bluff if your just going to just tell the leader of North Korea that he has nothing to fear by taking limited military action. That statement was stupid and reckless beyond belief. You, never tell an enemy that you’re only going to respond tit-for-tat. They must always fear what you might do to them if they choose to be the aggressors.
In my analysis, this stupid statement gave Kim Jong-un a green light to take what ever military action he dares. He now knows the worst that will happen is that if he sinks a ship or shells some facility something similar will happen to his forces.
Kim Jong-un loves video games where he takes wins and losses. Now this tit-for-tat defense stupidity has handed him a live reality game that he controls. He can order others to target the enemy but he does not have to worry about anything more severe than a similar response on North Korean people that he believes are dispensable cannon fodder anyway.
Heck, he can’t even feed all the North Koreans now because weapons are more important to him, so he lets thousands starve. So why should this Jong-un even care if thousands of North Koreans die as long as he wins his game?
A tit-for-tat response is not a deterrence for someone like him and when he takes military action he grows in stature in the eyes of his military leaders. Previous leaders of North Korea killed people knowing that any response from S. Korea or the US would be very limited. Future aggression happens because the weak response is so predictable.
I am now inclined to think that Kim Jong-un actually plans to carry out measured military actions expecting limited responses in return. Because then China, Russia and other leading powers of the world would demand a cease-fire and talks would start. The agenda that came out of those talks would be nothing less than a new armistice treaty with a non aggression clause or even a peace treaty. That is what I believe Kim Joug-un wants and that is why I think he voided the armistice treaty that he had.
For the promise of peace, Kim Joug-un would get guarantees from the world that he will get what he needs to modernize North Korea. Then Kim Jong-un would be the great hero in North Korea and gain a legacy as the fearless leader that brought about this modernization and that would guarantee his rule for another fifty years.
I think what we see happening in North Korea now will turn out to be somewhat different from earlier North Korean belligerent actions. They will be much more aggressive. They have even closed the joint N. Korea and S. Korea industrial free zone area that has 53,000 N. Korean workers. Half of the 25 cents an hour that these N. Koreans earn goes to the government. That is a large portion of the North Korean government’s hard income. They would not stop income like that unless they were planning on having limited war.
And why stop something that is working for them in a limited area? Because their new goal is probably nothing less than having the whole country changed into state-run capitalism like in China. Keep in mind that Kim Jong-un was educated in the West. He knows that high-tech is the future of any nation and he knows that North Korea must change or his own days are numbered.
That is my analysis of what is really going on with the Jong-un. He hopes to see fifty years of rule. However, he cannot do that with half his people starving to death. So he fully intends to use his military threat as a means to an end to set up a Chinese style state-run Fascist capitalist system to compete against the free enterprise system in South Korea.
Keep in mind that all capitalist systems in the world are moving down the road toward state sponsored and controlled corporations anyway (Fascism). So there can be unity with South Korea down the road if North Korea becomes more productive and South Korea becomes more statist. This is the “third way” so often mentioned by “progressive” globalists.
The more I think about this, the more I believe I hit upon the real agenda for what seems like irrational actions by North Korea and why China is still supporting Kim Jong-un. China has entertained the thought of letting South Korea move in and unify Korea if the North Korean government falls. However, they do not like the idea of a united free Korea. A Fascist capitalist system like theirs would solve that problem.
Meanwhile, North Korea will continue with their nuclear program and the conspiracy with Iran to jointly develop an EMP capability. Then one day in the not to distance future we might not even know from which of four or more countries those EMP’s came from, and we will be so military weakened by the “progressive” dismantling of our military that we will not have the means to retaliate anyway.
Then after 90 percent of Americans kill each other off during the post EMP’s famine and food wars. China can just come in and have huge state-run farms in the Americas and unlimited shale fuel resources. The work force for the farms and fuel would of course come from Mexico.
I say the coming military actions will be limited for the reasons I expressed above and also because there would be no point in North Korea even telling us that they were going to restart their old plutonium reactor if they really expected an all out war to happen anytime soon. In an all out war the reactor would be a heap of dust in one hour. It sounds more like they will use this old reactor once again as a bargaining chip to get what they want after the cease-fire.
In summary, North Korea will start a limited war and we will respond tit-for-tat rather than dealing with the root cause. Under this weak Obama administration America and the world will once again appease North Korea with aid for peace. What North Korea will want to get out of this brokered peace led by China is help in becoming an industrialized nation. The low wages will make it extremely attractive to the globalist multinationals and the state-run corporations of China, so it will happen very quickly.
Anyway, that is what I would do if I had the diabolical mind of Kim Jong-un and wanted to survive in a nation that now has nothing but a very old military threatening a world-class modern city. The North Koreans believe Kim Jong-un is a god-man so I am sure he will try to come up with something worthy of himself. He should also consider making his buddy Dennis Rodman his court jester.
Meanwhile, the North Koreans are also giving cover to Iran so that Iran can have nuclear breakout while the world’s attention is focused on North Korea. I am sure that North Korea will get paid handsomely in cash and oil by Iran for that decoy.
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Don Koenig founded www.thepropheticyears.com website in 1999 after almost thirty years of independent study on the Bible and learning from many astute teachers within Christendom. Don created his website to write about Bible prophecy, biblical discernment and his Christian worldviews. Don wrote a free Revelation commentary ebook in 2004 named "The Revelation of Jesus Christ Through The Ages". The World and Church and Bible Prophecy section of this website was started in 2007.