If I were a fly on the wall in the Oval Office the other day, I might have believed that I was watching a Laurel and Hardy rerun when”O” says to the long faced nincompoop “here’s another fine mess you got me into”. A fine mess indeed.
If amateurs are going to go one-on-one on the world arena against a hardened Russian leader, former KGB officer, and judo expert they will probably be thrown for a loop and then find that Putin put their own foot in their mouths. Now the Obama administration is still struggling to get off the mat.
John Kerry gave President Putin enough rope to gag Kerry with Kerry’s own words, so this loser must now play out the game of War and Peace with the infamous Bashar of Syria. Even so, President Bashar Assad like the typical Arab dictator is just conning America. Assad has no intention of playing by the rules they set up. Assad plans to change the rules as the game goes along.
Obama and Kerry have said that is something they will not allow to happen. The problem is that Obama has already lost all credibility in the Arab world. If you listen to what Assad recently said yesterday to the press, it already is quite apparent that Assad has already changed the rules of the game.
The facts are that Arab dictators never learn and America never learns that you cannot trust what Arab dictators say. The Arab dictators always make the mistake of thinking that America’s reluctance to use force means that Americans fear a fight or will not fight. You would think that by our past military actions in Iraq and Afghanistan after 9/11 that they would learn that Americans can only be pushed so far.
Americans do not want to get into another war trying to civilize the insane and so they do not want Obama to get us into the civil war in Syria. However, if tyrants take our reluctance to pick sides in civil wars when both sides are evil, for inability to act when evil confronts us, they have just made a fatal mistake.
Americans know what Putin promised and what Assad agreed to for President Obama to delay the planned military actions against Syria. If Assad is now going to play us like fools, he will assure swift destruction on himself when Americans turn against him and authorize Obama to take him out.
We have shed too much blood and spent trillions of dollars to at least try to make the Middle East a more civilized sane place. We are not now going to allow Assad to make America look impotent so that Iran gets the wrong idea and starts building nuclear warheads to threaten Israel and the West. We might have poor leadership at this point in American, but common sense usually prevails among the people. I suggest that President Assad follow through on his promise, rather than telling America what they must first do before he actually complies with what he and Russia promised.
In case you did not hear what Assad said yesterday, he said that the U.S. must stop working to overthrow him and must stop supporting the rebels fighting against him before he complies with any agreement on giving up his WMD. He also suggested that Israel would need to give up their WMD. None of that is going to happen.
No matter what I think about us supporting the Islamic rebels in Syria, we should not allow Assad to now put any conditions on the agreement that stopped the looming military action in the first place. If Assad now does not follow through on the agreement, Americans can and should remove him. Assad would be very foolish to think that Americans would not support military action against him if he now thumbs his nose at America. Even so, nobody ever accused ruthless Arab dictators of possessing wisdom.
Therefore, knowing that Assad is not likely to comply with the agreement, military action is almost a certainty at some point. Next time it may not be the exceedingly small military action that John Kerry stupidly telegraphed. If Assad has conned America, and will now use Israel as the excuse to renege on signing the Chemical Weapons Ban treaty, a strike from America could still take place this fall.
If Assad signs the treaty but does not comply with it, there will be more general international support for the use of force by the middle of next year or even before that time if nerve gas is used again. However, Russia would again veto any actions against Syria, so the U.N. will do nothing and it will again be up to America to stop Assad from not using WMD. So what was the point in this whole exercise of futility, other than that Putin’s realization that Kerry and Obama made it just too easy for Putin to rope-a-dope them?
In order to deter any future U.S. action and shore up Assad, Russia says it will send more weapons to Syria and Iran including S-300 antiaircraft systems. I do not recommend that they do that or Israel may take these missiles out.
Russia is making a big show of force by sending some ships into the area but Russia is not going to directly fight the U.S. over Syria or Iran. Putin is tough, but he is not suicidal. Putin knows the present limitations of the vastly downsized Russian military and without the gas markets of Europe the Russian nation would totally self-destruct. One reason Russia tries to keep the tensions in the Middle East high is because it raises oil prices and their GDP bottom-line.
The real danger in striking Syria is the unknown response from Assad, Hezbollah, or Iran against Israel and Sunni oil nations. If Assad just takes a military strike and licks his wounds, that might be the end of it for a while. However, if Assad uses chemical weapons against Israel, or if Hezbollah and Iran strike out against Israel, then Israel and America could find themselves in a world war spanning from North Africa to China. Securing the WMD in Syria and even Iran would be a cake walk compared to securing nuclear weapons in Pakistan and North Korea.
That wider war really is inevitable anyway. No matter who controls these Middle East nations the Sunni vs Shiite war will continue and it will expand. The only question is who will ultimately control these areas? The Arab Spring was the start of open civil war in Islam and the long Arab Winter will determine whom will end up in control of the Arab lands. I would bet on the Sunni Muslims under a soon forming Roman led Mediterranean Union.
Defeating the Iranian led Shia and helping most of the Sunni radicals also get themselves killed fighting the Shia forces probably seems like a pretty good strategy to the global elite. That probably is the overall big plan of the globalists to bring about peace in the Middle East and that also is why our own government is supporting the Sunni with its Muslim Brotherhood. Anyway, don’t be conned, this regional war is still going to happen.
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Don Koenig founded www.thepropheticyears.com website in 1999 after almost thirty years of independent study on the Bible and learning from many astute teachers within Christendom. Don created his website to write about Bible prophecy, biblical discernment and his Christian worldviews. Don wrote a free Revelation commentary ebook in 2004 named "The Revelation of Jesus Christ Through The Ages". The World and Church and Bible Prophecy section of this website was started in 2007.